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Armington CES partial-equilibrium model. Simulate bilateral tariff policy changes and quantify effects on trade flows, prices, and welfare. Pick a preset scenario or build your own below.
Source: BACI International Trade Database (CEPII), HS92, 1995-2024
Methodology: Armington (1969) CES partial-equilibrium model with product-level trade elasticities. Trade diversion detected via bilateral flow comparison.