Trade Impact Evaluation

Source: BACI International Trade Database (CEPII), 1995-2024 | World Bank Development Indicators

Methodology: Event study, Difference-in-Differences, and Synthetic Control methods applied to country-level trade panel data. Log transformation used for level outcomes. Standard errors are unpooled (event study) or clustered at country level (DiD). Synthetic control uses projected gradient descent with simplex constraint (Abadie et al. 2010).